This article was written for Canespace by long-time blogger Hassan...
Money is no longer an excuse. Yes, that's right, I said it!
Recently a few universities joined the Atlantic Coast Conference and right now a few schools are considering leaving the conference. Many Miami Hurricane fans are unhappy with the current situation and are coming down hard on the little private school in Coral Gables. They say we do not have the money to compete with the big boys in the Southeastern Conference, PAC 12, Big 12 or Big 10.
But very soon things will be changing for the ACC as a conference and even more specifically at the University of Miami. If you ask me some people are just too short sighted to see the long term future and grasp the "big picture" of college football. I believe that two major things will affect our future and the future of college athletics.
1. The College Playoff System: This system is expected to generate an average of about $500 million per year in the new deal with ESPN. The payouts to the conferences are expected to increase 300% over the current system. This is a HUGE amount of money, and schools budgeting for this are no longer afraid to buy out a coach's contract because the money does not matter to most AQ conference schools anymore. The playoff system is likely to expand beyond the 4 team current system and balloon to even more money in the future.
2. The ACC Television Contract: With the addition of Louisville and Notre Dame to the ACC the conference is much closer to renegotiating their TV contract deal. Sources say we are planning to talk with NBC as well. I expect a nice increase for our TV deal. Notre Dame going to the NCC game this year is actually huge for the ACC. Huge for ratings and Louisville going to a BCS game also helps the exposure as they will be joining the ACC. Three Current or future members of the ACC will be in BCS games including the NCCG. Not to Mention the Louisville Men’s basketball team which generates $40 million a year for that school, sells out every game and this increases exposure when we play them. The Notre Dame basketball teams are also excellent and expect to help make the ACC the best basketball conference in the land.
What does this mean? Well I think many will argue that illegal payouts to win recruits may well go up and that coach’s salaries may well increase with the revenues. However there are certain resources that the big programs use that have a finite cost and a finite amount of impact and certain facts will not change.
College football programs have a limited number of 85 scholarships and the amount of players will not change. Programs that now have smaller weight rooms and no training tables will be able to build facilities to challenge some of the big boys. There is a finite limit to how much facilities you can build, once you build out to the NFL level you are at the top. The cost of those facilities in the long run will not keep up with the rising revenues from these new TV deals.
Dropping $10 million into a new weight room might have seemed like a pipe dream 10 years ago for small schools will now become possible. Even stadium upgrades and other amenities to boost recruiting efforts will soon be within grasp for many more programs. The cost of these things is affected by college football economics and soon the cost will be affordable for more programs and not just the traditional rich schools.
I believe that coaches matter but talent is what wins the day more times than not in college football. In a short time teams like Miami will have the money to build out and upgrade facilities and the playing field will be much more level. We will wind up with a system where recruiting grounds will be the difference maker and a team like Miami, which is located in one of if not the richest recruiting ground in the nation, will be dominant once again.