How about that Mr. Football II? The second team heavy blowout in Miami Gardens last week sets the stage for what for me is the game of the year in Gainesville this week as one of the nastiest rivalries in all of college football re-ignites for a rare showdown of Florida speed. This game pits a heavily favored Gator team against an unproven Miami squad that most are giving next to no chance of even staying close, much less pulling the upset.
I on the other hand are already on record and nothing I saw in week one has dissuaded me from
standing by that prediction, I expect the Hurricanes to win a tight game in the final quarter of play by running the ball down a tired UF defense's throat as the Swamp gets eerily quiet. If Steve Spurrier was still tossing visors on the sideline with abandonment I would be worried but Randy Shannon has beaten Urban Meyer on the recruiting trail and in a similar game last year on the road at Tallahassee Shannon was able to get the best of a better head coach in Bowden.
After this week the score 48-0 is going to hurt a lot less for Hurricane fans while the number 23 will no longer signify the greatest basketball player ever for Gator boosters.
After one week of games, I'm proud to report that the following teams were correctly predicted by me as falling to the wayside in the race for one of the two coveted Shortlist to South Beach invites for the only game that matters in the new year:
Miami (OH), Middle Tennessee, Army, SMU, Hawaii, Ohio, UAB, New Mexico, ULM,
FIU, NI, WMU, ULL, FAU, UNT, Kent State, Idaho, Utah State, CSU.
Now that I've crowed sufficiently, I have to unfortunately report that I made an oversight last week and f
orgot to include another pick I had marked for exclusion, the Memphis Tigers. After dropping a heated rivalry game to the hated Ole' Miss Rebels the Tigers are off the Shortlist even if I somehow overlooked recording my pick against them last week. Regardless of my mistake, Houston Nutt knows what it takes to win in the SEC West and this rivalry game victory will keep the good feelings flowing in Oxford enough to drown out the bile being flung from Nutt's old stomping grounds following his acrimonious
departure there.
Seven teams beat the odds last week to stay on the Shortlist despite my calling for them to do otherwise. The magnificent group reads as follows:
Buffalo, ECU, Bowling Green, Utah, L-Tech, Ark. St., Fresno St.
These non-BCS schools find themselves in an enviable position, as they stay alive with their slim hopes of pulling off a miracle crashing of the most exclusive party of all, the BCS title game. But for every victor there stands a vanquished foe, which on the Shortlist to South Beach earns you a moment of infamy as you watch your championship dreams go up in smoke. The teams out of the running without me calling for them to be in one week this year are:
1) UTEP - Mike Price gets run out of town by Turner Gill's Buffalo Bulls in a game that should have been much closer. Price has rebounded from his exile by the Crimson Tide in El Paso with some impressive seasons, but his up and down career continues to see more reversals of fortune than that infamous
Scientologist John Travoltta's. I expect them to rebound but the lopsided result last week was less than encouraging for the Miners.
2) Virginia Tech - A HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA! They suck, I hate this school, their players, it's fan-base, it's head coach, it's play calling, everything Turkey. I haven't had a Turkey on Thanksgiving or Christmas in I don't know how long out of protest and disdain for these jokers. I considered calling for their elimination last week for a long time only to talk myself out of it until they were scheduled to travel to Nebraska, but I've never been so glad to be so wrong. Good bye and good riddance to the most overrated "program" in college football. Looks like that empty trophy case on campus is going to stay that way for another year suckers!
3) Pitt - Another team that was overrated for doing not much of anything in hindsight finds an embarrassing way of the Shortlist by falling at home while falling apart in the second half. They play a power run game on offense that in theory should get stronger as the game grows longer but instead wilted when it counted. If the 'Stash finds away to keep from getting shaven by season's end
I'll be mildly surprised now.
4) Michigan - Another year, another week one elimination for the Wolverines. This is becoming a Shortlist tradition for these guys. At least this wasn't a complete shock this year as Utah is a legitimate BCS threat again to break through the glass ceiling for the second time. Rich Rodriguez suffered through a losing first season at West Virginia before putting the pieces together to
challenge for it all, given time he'll be able to do that again at the win-ingest school of all time by percentage, but the program might not be able to continue to claim that designation before that occurs.
5) Miss St. - I love the job Sylvester Croom has done in turning around a program that had the wheels completely off when he arrived despite trying extenuating circumstances, but a futile second half on the road has his Bulldogs off the Shortlist at the hands of Louisiana Tech. I expect this fine head-coach
to have his Bulldogs back in the running to make some noise in his division but any hope for a championship will have to wait for the time being.
6) TAMU - This is the upset of week one. I thought A&M was in for a rough transition this year with their coaching and scheme changes, but to lose in College Station to Arkansas STATE by any margin is inexcusable. They are done and the Mike Sherman hire has more questions than answers in my book from here on out. They should have never forced out R.C. Slocumb but these wack-jobs have never been known for their sanity in their decision making process there, so you reap what you sow seems to be the lesson we can take from this.
7) Rutgers - Welcome back to the outhouse Greg Schianno, hope you enjoyed the view you almost got of the penthouse a few years ago because until your safely tucked away in Happy Valley you won't be seeing it again any time soon. Losing to Pat Hill's Fresno State Bulldogs isn't the worst thing that can happen to a head coach, Hill's beaten some great ones in upsets over the years, but this was the type of game that this version of Rutgers has to prove they can win as a favorite consistently to prove they aren't just a flash in the pan blip on the otherwise forgettable radar screen of the Scarlet Knight program history.
8) San Diego State - A last second field goal takes the Aztecs down at home to Cal Poly. They weren't going to last long on the Shortlist anyway but still this is an eye opening result as I wasn't sure Cal Poly actually played football in the first place.
My picks this week to fall off the Shortlist are as follows:
Ball St., Marshall, Temple, EMU, Southern Miss, San Jose St., BYU, Oregon St., Air Force, CMU, ECU, Buffalo, WSU, UCF, Tulane, L-Tech, Houston, Bowling Green, UNLV, Nevada, Toledo.
27 teams are out of the running for a title game consideration already. I expect them to almost double this week as the competition begins to filter itself out on the Shortlist to South Beach.
Copyright 2008 by Christopher Whelpton for Canespace.com