I recently asked for some serious research on Miami's offensive performance in 2104. Markus all the way from Germany gave me what I asked for:
2014 Season: Total scoring UM/Opp.: 359-292
2014 Scoring: 1st Half 223-133 / 2nd Half 136-159
Scoring in Wins: Final 236-97 / 1st Half 142-44 / 2nd Half 94-53
Scoring in Losses: Final 123-195 / 1st Half 81-89 / 2nd Half 42-106
Scoring against ACC: Final 191-190 / 1st Half 130-85 / 2nd Half 61-105
My 2014 scoring analysis:
(1) Overall, we scored 60% of our points in the 1st half, 40% in the 2nd half.
(2) Overall, we gave up 45% of our points in the 1st half and 55% in the 2nd half.
This could be due to the fact that we take a big lead early and cruise to victory with 2nd and 3rd stringers. Not very likely when you're dealing with a 6-6 team.
To eliminate this factor, let's look how the above percentages changed when we lost:
(1) In our losses, we scored 66% of our points in the 1st half, 34% in the 2nd half.
(2) In our losses, we gave up 46% of our points in the 1st half and 54% in the 2nd half.
Finally, let's look at ACC games:
(1) In ACC play, we scored 68% of our points in the 1st half, 32% in the 2nd half.
(2) In ACC play, we gave up 45% of our points in the 1st half and 55% in the 2nd half.
Final thoughts:
(1) The team has played better in the first half than in the second half. That could point to a depth and/or conditioning issue.
(2) However, it is a lot worse on offense than on defense; also, the defensive percentages are almost identical regardless of the outcome or ACC vs. non-conference opponent.
(3) On offense, it gets a lot worse in the second half when we play ACC opponents or when we lose. One explanation could be that depth and/or conditioning is more deficient on offense than on defense.
Personally, I believe it is mostly a coaching issue - opponents adjust at halftime and we have no answer for that.
Markus aka VfB_Cane from Germany
1st????
Posted by: raizecane | December 16, 2014 at 09:37 PM
excellent research and information ......
Posted by: raizecane | December 16, 2014 at 09:38 PM
2!
Posted by: 1mg of Epi | December 16, 2014 at 09:47 PM
If we're trying to figure out how to bump up our third down conversion numbers, or increase our TFL, or lower our opponents' time of possession, we're just rearranging deck chairs on the Titanic.
Posted by: dj moonbat | December 16, 2014 at 07:08 PM
YUP
Posted by: 86Cane | December 16, 2014 at 09:48 PM
Good research. Thinking about the season, in the games we lost, except FSU, the winning team dominated the line of scrimmage and time of possession. They wore the defense down in the second half. Because we never adjusted to take the running game away the 2nd half stats go down hill as the defense tired. In those losses, we basically tried to let a true freshman sling us on to victory in the second half and he couldn't do it (because that would have been difficult for even a senior to do.
The point is we have to shut down running games first and foremost. If we can't do that we will almost always lose the second half of games against decent competition. Winning college coaches rely on juniors and seniors and not true freshmen.
Posted by: SJMPARMAN | December 16, 2014 at 09:57 PM
Great research. I love it.
Posted by: Terrance Sullivan | December 16, 2014 at 10:02 PM
If we had simply scored the same amount in the second half of games as in the first I wonder how this season would have ended up.
Posted by: Go Canes | December 16, 2014 at 10:08 PM
Lots of good info btw. Good article.
Posted by: Go Canes | December 16, 2014 at 10:08 PM
I am starting to get to the point where I am not going to get my hopes up high and come to the realization that will always be a 7-5 / 8-4 team..... this would eliminate most of my stress during football season.
Posted by: raizecane | December 16, 2014 at 10:10 PM
@SBNRecruiting: Former 5-star DT recruit Travonte Valentine posted on FB today that his GPA will now allow him to play spring football for #LSU @valleyshook
Posted by: Go Canes | December 16, 2014 at 10:11 PM
Markus...U da man!
Part II tomorrow night late.
Posted by: SOUP | December 16, 2014 at 10:12 PM
If we had simply scored the same amount in the second half of games as in the first I wonder how this season would have ended up.
Posted by: Go Canes | December 16, 2014 at 10:08 PM
Good question? 10-2???
Posted by: SOUP | December 16, 2014 at 10:14 PM
Raize, Raize, Raize...the NEW Canez1.
He would be proud!
Posted by: SOUP | December 16, 2014 at 10:15 PM
Raize, Raize, Raize...the NEW Canez1.
He would be proud!
Posted by: SOUP | December 16, 2014 at 10:15 PM
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That dude rocks....... :-)
Posted by: raizecane | December 16, 2014 at 10:17 PM
Raize that is a good idea. That way if the team does better the mood is better. I dig it. Might have to adopt this thought process as well. Go Canes.
Posted by: Terrance Sullivan | December 16, 2014 at 10:31 PM
BTW the next season home slate includes games against Nebraska, Clemson, Georgia Tech, Virginia Tech, Virginia and my guess is Bethune Cookman. Just thinking out loud my guess is Nebraska, Clemson, Georgia Tech, and Virginia Tech are must see games for me. Probable games I will try to make is Virginia and the road game at FAU. Go Canes! Beat South Carolina!
Posted by: Terrance Sullivan | December 16, 2014 at 10:36 PM
Posted by: SOUP | December 16, 2014 at 10:14 PM
That's where I would have it too.
GT, Louisville, FSU are obvious ones, likely would have added much more meaning and intensity to the two stink bombs we ended the season with.
Posted by: Go Canes | December 16, 2014 at 10:40 PM
If we had simply scored the same amount in the second half of games as in the first I wonder how this season would have ended up.
Posted by: Go Canes | December 16, 2014 at 10:08
Go canes... You're are pretty down on the O coaching it would seem. Do you think Coley deserves another year?
Posted by: 1mg of Epi | December 16, 2014 at 10:45 PM
I'm not down on the offense. Kaaya had a heck of a season but at the end of the day he was still a true freshman.
I believe we scored 3 against FSU, 3 at GT, 3 at Louisville and none at UVA in the second half. You won't beat anyone doing that.
With a season under his belt, these bowl practices, plus a full spring and fall, I don't see that happening again in 2015.
Posted by: Go Canes | December 16, 2014 at 10:53 PM
Markus... Great job!!
These numbers are an indictment of the entire coaching staff, and clearly show adjustments are not being made. College athletics is unique in that the talent differential can be immense. While the ACC had a good out of conference showing this year, I would argue that it still is the bottom of the power 5 barrel. I would further argue that the coastal division is about as bad it gets in the power 5. These stats benefit from a horrible schedule. Even VT was down this year. And we're still tied for last.
Go canes... You asked what the record would be if the O scored as much in 2nd halves as it did in first halves. I think it'd be 8-4 maybe 9-3. So what would the record be if we played in the SEC or PAC 12?
After 4 years its safe to say AG will never be anything other than the HC of a bad team regardless of talent.
Posted by: 1mg of Epi | December 16, 2014 at 10:56 PM
Posted by: Go Canes | December 16, 2014 at 10:53 PM
So it's just a function of an inexperienced QB, and not coaching?
Posted by: 1mg of Epi | December 16, 2014 at 10:57 PM
Go Canes what record does Golden need to have by the end of 2015 to save his job?
Posted by: WWIN | December 16, 2014 at 11:01 PM
No it's a combination of all those factors.
The difference between an average team and coaching staff is doing what's necessary to win.
The players and coaches all failed at that.
Posted by: Go Canes | December 16, 2014 at 11:05 PM
Among other things, Kaaya's gotta improve His arm strength...we can't protect His noodle arm all the time by field position.
Posted by: CaneRock | December 16, 2014 at 11:11 PM
Might have to adopt this thought process as well. Go Canes.
Posted by: Terrance Sullivan | December 16, 2014 at 10:31 PM
NEGATIVE.
12-0 bus be rollin onmce again!
Posted by: SOUP | December 16, 2014 at 11:12 PM
Among other things, Kaaya's gotta improve His arm strength...we can't protect His noodle arm all the time by field position.
Posted by: CaneRock | December 16, 2014 at 11:11 PM
YUP
Posted by: SOUP | December 16, 2014 at 11:13 PM
Swasey...where U at?
Posted by: SOUP | December 16, 2014 at 11:13 PM
That 12-0 bus will take the shortest ride ever me thinks.
Posted by: SJMPARMAN | December 16, 2014 at 11:24 PM
And Coley needs to stop with all this..."I'm recruiting QB such & such so I can run a "special package"" Screw. That. If ya'll wanted Morris & Williams to push Harris & Morris, then ya'll should want Rosier or Lawson to push Kaaya.
Posted by: CaneRock | December 16, 2014 at 11:25 PM
And oh yeah...#CROWTOJONESFOR2015...LEGGO!
Posted by: CaneRock | December 16, 2014 at 11:26 PM
That 12-0 bus will take the shortest ride ever me thinks.
Posted by: SJMPARMAN | December 16, 2014 at 11:24 PM
Yeah but once we get a full head of steam, the wind at our backs and the sun in our eyes we can crash that sucker better than ever!
#12&0UntilWeDie
Posted by: SOUP | December 16, 2014 at 11:37 PM
Next year the bus will be like the bus on Speed, rigged to explode.
Posted by: The Dude | December 16, 2014 at 11:55 PM
It's funny how much stronger a QB's arm looks when he's got complete command of his offense. For Miami to be successful, Coley's group needs to put up 40 to 50 a game because Mark and Al's D tries to find ways to lose. The blocking needs to get better and more sophisticated, Kaaya needs to be a field commander, the ball needs to be out of his hands in 3 seconds. He's losing some weapons next year in Dorsett, Duke and Walford, plus Miami will be replacing 3 starters on the OL. If I had to guess the five O-linemen will be LT-McDermott, LG-Isidora, C-Linder, RG-Darling, RT-Gadbois. Anyways, my hope is Al gets fired after the bowl because I don't want to sit through 6-9 win seasons anymore. The O may actually take a step back next year, especially early on. The D is just the most God awful thing I've ever seen. Death by 1,000 needles. Can't stop 1 dimensional offenses, horrible at getting turnovers and sacks and getting of the field. Oh God, 2015 is going to suck.
Posted by: The Dude | December 17, 2014 at 12:13 AM
On defense Miami loses: Perryman & Armbrister, those are tough losses, it will be hard to replace both of them. Miami may lose McCord, but my hunch is he comes back. Miami loses Pierre and Chickillo, two seniors on an already bad DL. Gunter is gone, one of the more rangy guys in the secondary. Every year players change and guys come in and out and some play well, some don't. But this was the most experienced defensive squad Al and Mark have had and the D was bad again. The red flags on the scheme are well documented, but hey, let's all double down (again) on this staff and expect different results, didn't someone smart say that was the very definition of a crazy person?
Posted by: The Dude | December 17, 2014 at 12:20 AM
Good morning guys!
Thanks to all of you who commented - I really appreciate the positive feedback. It is a good feeling being able to add a little bit to the best sports blog around.
Posted by: VfB_Cane | December 17, 2014 at 06:45 AM
12-0 bus be rollin onmce again!
Posted by: SOUP | December 16, 2014 at 11:12 PM
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maybe....just maybe I will have that attitude but not until i see a light at the end of the tunnel and right now....it's dark as hell
Posted by: raizecane | December 17, 2014 at 07:47 AM
So according to Furman they gonna be wearing....
Adidas
Posted by: 1mg of Epi | December 17, 2014 at 07:59 AM
VIB_Cane thanks for posting this blog. I read every blog & post rarely myself. Felt it was deserved this time.
Fran in Debary
Posted by: fran | December 17, 2014 at 08:00 AM
Al Golden - 0-9 vs Teams that Finish in the Top 25
Posted by: SinisterCane | December 17, 2014 at 08:06 AM
Morning Spacers!
For the first time since I started working at this shelter I got to see a young man go home to his family. Not off to jail or to another facility, but home to his family. Such a great feeling. So proud of that young man... the last few weeks other buys have tried to bait him into some things and he pushed through and did the right thing. It makes all the bad nights, all the horror stories bearable.
Posted by: UMike | December 17, 2014 at 08:17 AM
Al Golden - 0-9 vs Teams that Finish in the Top 25
Posted by: SinisterCane | December 17, 2014 at 08:06 AM
But we beat Duke
Posted by: UMike | December 17, 2014 at 08:17 AM
For Miami to be successful, Coley's group needs to put up 40 to 50 a game because Mark and Al's D tries to find ways to lose.
Posted by: The Dude | December 17, 2014 at 12:13 AM
We ALL said that before the 2014 season and look how that turned out? Could NOT get it done.
Posted by: SOUP | December 17, 2014 at 08:39 AM
But we beat Duke
Posted by: UMike | December 17, 2014 at 08:17 AM
#Convincingly
Posted by: SOUP | December 17, 2014 at 08:40 AM
Posted by: SOUP | December 17, 2014 at 08:39 AM
Considering if we scored 30 a game we'd likely be undefeated, I think needing 40-50 may be a bit of a reach.
Posted by: Go Canes | December 17, 2014 at 08:46 AM
@tomdangelo44: O'Leary, Jackson, Goldman, Aguayo on http://t.co/uLnI4e7tE2's All-America 1st team. Edwards, Ramsey on 2nd team. #FSU.
Posted by: Go Canes | December 17, 2014 at 08:47 AM
If we scored "30 a game" vs Louisville,NU, & Pitt, we would've still lost. If we scored "30 a game" vs UVA & FSU, we would've went to OT. That's 0-3, with 2 up in the air right there, so where's this "likely undefeated"?
Posted by: CaneRock | December 17, 2014 at 08:55 AM
For Miami to be successful, Coley's group needs to put up 40 to 50 a game because Mark and Al's D tries to find ways to lose.
Posted by: The Dude | December 17, 2014 at 12:13 AM
We ALL said that before the 2014 season and look how that turned out? Could NOT get it done.
Posted by: SOUP | December 17, 2014 at 08:39 AM
I'm done playing "Who's to blame? Offense or Defense?"
The unit that keeps f***ing things up is the front office.
Posted by: dj moonbat | December 17, 2014 at 08:56 AM
Posted by: CaneRock | December 17, 2014 at 08:55 AM
Don't know why you ask something you know the answer to CR, you understand football.
Posted by: Go Canes | December 17, 2014 at 08:59 AM
The power 5 teams who scored less than 30 on us:
Duke, GT, VT UNC
Posted by: 1mg of Epi | December 17, 2014 at 09:00 AM
Go Canes...I don't think needing 40-50 is a reach for next season. Even Gary Patterson said He had to go to a more wide open offense, after going 4-8 in 2013. Aren't you the one that's always harping on how today's game has changed?...yes?...no?
Posted by: CaneRock | December 17, 2014 at 09:05 AM